KING RIVER - The $7.50 King River looks a solid gamble from the good gate. The stable has him worked out now, he’s a good horse fresh and he needs sting out of the ground. He was coming off a similar break last start at Caulfield and if we do get the forecast rain we could be on a very similar surface by this race. He joined in quickly on the home turn and he was dominant going clear to the line despite pulling up with the thumps. With what looks a strong speed on up front he’ll drop into a perfect run midfield or better and should be storming over the top of them. Brahmos looks a danger. He’s well placed off the freshen up and also offers a bit of value at $8.50.
CENTRAL WITNESS - Expecting Hemmerle to come out of the Highway this week to run in Race 5. Central Witness’s form reads well for this Class 3 clash which is a strong one. He’s a horse that appears to have gone to another level this preparation which he started with one win and six placings from 16 starts. Five runs later, he’s won another two and has recorded three more placings and his last two runs have been in solid grade. Sets up well for this with his last two runs at 1500 and 1600m and the form out of his latest run, when he finished second to Bastia in open benchmark 85 grade at Randwick three weeks ago, has to hold up well for this. In seven soft/heavy track starts he’s won twice and finished second another three times.
DAGNY - I’ve marked this smart mare as the best of the day. She’s 24 starts into her career now but I believe she’s still got upside – this is just the third time she’s raced beyond 1600m. I really think she can go to another level over these middle distance/staying races and fourth-up on Saturday she can improve again. She’s going to get back so I’m not too fussed on the wide gate because she’s got the turn of foot to offset it. Her Rosehill record is first-rate, as are her past performance figures on rain-affected tracks. She’s the horse in this with room to move in the handicaps and I expect her to be winning again on Saturday.
PROMETHEUS - He’s a handy horse this and still only lightly raced, so open to further improvement this preparation. In the past he’s been prone to missing the start but those bad habits appear to be behind him which is a plus. He’s also a proven conveyance resuming at this 1400m trip. His two trials have been good and while he’s duck-egged in each of his four soft track starts, he’s a winner on heavy so I wouldn’t use the track surface as an excuse. Drawn to get the right run in this and down on the minimum, I think he has good each-way prospects.
BEST GUESS - He’s a bit of a favourite and a horse I think could be a later maturing type and could be a better horse again this preparation rising five. He’s still only lightly raced and returns after having a chip removed from a knee. This bloke’s stats read Rosehill 3-1-0-1, 1100m 6-2-1-2, first-up 2-0-1-1 and soft 2-2-0-0. White Moss, a Group III winner at her next start, beat him when resuming over this trip last prep and his two trials have both been good. He’ll give a good run for your money on Saturday.